Bonds flash recession warning light as key part of the yield curve inverts again

Bonds flash recession warning light as key part of the yield curve inverts again

The bond market is flashing a warning that the economy may be falling or already has fallen into recession, according to one closely watched measure. Market pros watch the spread on the Treasury yield curve, or the difference between the longer duration Treasury yields and shorter duration yields. Normally, longer duration yields, like the yield … Read more

Atlanta Fed GDP tracker shows the US economy is likely in a recession

Atlanta Fed GDP tracker shows the US economy is likely in a recession

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reacts as he testifies before a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing on the “Seminnual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress”, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, June 22, 2022. Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters A Federal Reserve tracker of economic growth is pointing to an increased chance … Read more

The Fed’s hawkish policies risk making economy’s doom loop worse

The Fed’s hawkish policies risk making economy’s doom loop worse

As the stock market closes out its worst half since 1970, the Federal Reserve has shifted to a hawkish monetary-policy stance to fight inflation. Not only is the Fed raising its policy interest rate in 75 basis-point steps rather than the more normal 25. It is also on the path to withdrawing market liquidity by … Read more

5 things to know before the stock market opens Tuesday, June 21

5 things to know before the stock market opens Tuesday, June 21

Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day: 1. Wall Street set to bounce after S&P 500’s worst seek since 2020 The sign for Wall Street is seen with US flags outside the New York Stock Exchange. Yuki Iwamura | Afp | Getty Images Dow futures … Read more

5 things to know before the stock market opens Friday, June 24

5 things to know before the stock market opens Friday, June 24

Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day: 1. Wall Street heads for its first weekly advance in the past four A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, June 22, 2022. Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters … Read more

Volatile week as investors assessed recession prospects

Volatile week as investors assessed recession prospects

LONDON — European markets moved higher on Friday to end a volatile week, as investors around the world assessed inflation and fears of an economic recession. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index gained 0.8% in early trade, with tech stocks adding retail 1.5% to lead gains while stocks slid 1.8%. In terms of individual share price … Read more

5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday, June 23

5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday, June 23

Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day: 1. Stocks set for higher open as Wall Street tries for another rebound Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. NYSE US stock futures rose Thursday after an attempt at a rebound fizzled the … Read more

Stock futures are flat after markets claw back some losses

Stock futures are flat after markets claw back some losses

US stock index futures were flat overnight Tuesday after the major averages jumped in regular trading hours, attempting to claw back some losses following weeks of selling. Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were little changed. During regular trading Tuesday, the Dow surged 641 points, or 2.15%. … Read more

With Markets in Disarray, International Investors Are Stockpiling US Dollars

With Markets in Disarray, International Investors Are Stockpiling US Dollars

Foreign investors selling stocks and bonds are hoarding the US dollar as market volatility picks up. Typically investors repatriate cash into their local currency, but not this time. US capital flow data show the foreign cash pile of dollars is close to records as investors reduce risky assets in portfolios and hang on to the … Read more

Ed Yardini on bear market, the Fed and inflation

Ed Yardini on bear market, the Fed and inflation

Markets have been on a wild ride recently, swinging between gains and losses. However, the brutal selling has meant the S&P 500 is still in a bear market. When asked whether markets have hit a bottom, Wall Street veteran Ed Yardini said he doesn’t think “we’re gonna climb out of this thing very quickly, not … Read more