Recession fears are slamming the stock market. This GDP tracker explains why.

Recession fears are slamming the stock market.  This GDP tracker explains why.

Fears of a sharp slowdown are getting the blame for the stock market’s renewed slide while also driving a retreat in Treasury yields. A look at a regional Fed bank’s closely followed economic-growth indicator may justify investor jitters, said a top Wall Street researcher. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model on Friday forecast … Read more

What the dollar’s historic surge means for markets as stocks, bonds end brutal 1st half

What the dollar’s historic surge means for markets as stocks, bonds end brutal 1st half

2022 is shaping up as a historic year for markets, including the world’s reserve currency. While the S&P 500 is headed for its worst first half in more than five decades, the dollar appreciated during the first six months of 2022 by the largest margin in history, according to some measures. The Federal Reserve’s decision … Read more

Financial markets seen unprepared for risk that inflation resists Fed rate hikes in second half of 2022

Financial markets seen unprepared for risk that inflation resists Fed rate hikes in second half of 2022

Investors and traders attempting to navigate one of the most treacherous periods in financial markets in years are all but sure to face more volatility during the second half of this year. One major reason is that few seem to be prepared for the risk that US inflation, already at an almost 41-year high of … Read more

How bear markets trick gullible investors

How bear markets trick gullible investors

Bear markets like to trick you into thinking they have come to an end. They do that by mounting explosive one-day rallies. Those jumps more often than not turn out to be traps that lure the gullible back into the market just as it’s about to turn down again. Bear markets constantly are playing Lucy … Read more

The US housing market is teetering on recession. Will the economy soon follow?

The US housing market is teetering on recession.  Will the economy soon follow?

The last time the housing market suffered a major meltdown in 2006, it took the entire US economy with it. But history never follows the exact same script twice. The weakening housing market is undoubtedly going to hurt the economy. Single-family home construction fell to a 1 million annual pace rate in May from a … Read more

Fed looks ‘dead set’ on tightening financial conditions until the economy slows, warns BlackRock

Fed looks ‘dead set’ on tightening financial conditions until the economy slows, warns BlackRock

The Federal Reserve’s battle to get inflation down from a 40-year high likely means it will raise interest rates until the US economy slows, strategists at the BlackRock Investment Institute warned on Tuesday. “The Fed seems dead set on raising rates this year to levels that, in our view, would clearly slow the economy,” Jean … Read more

Fed’s Bullard says US economy should continue to grow in coming quarters

Fed’s Bullard says US economy should continue to grow in coming quarters

The US economy should continue to grow in the coming several months, said St. Louis Fed President James Bullard on Monday, playing down fear of a severe recession that some economists and market pros view as inevitable in the face of the central bank’s war against too-hot inflation. “On GDP growth, I think that the … Read more