Global markets steady but recession fears remain

  • Dollar near two-decade high vs euro
  • Euro huddles at 20-yr low; sterling squeezed
  • European stocks rebounds after a steep drop

LONDON/SINGAPORE/TOKYO, July 6 (Reuters) – Tentative calm returned to global markets on Wednesday, with the euro steadying after dropping to a two-decade low and oil back above $100 a barrel following a near 10% plunge a day earlier.

The single currency traded at $1.025, a fraction above its weakest level since late 2002 touched overnight as fears of a slowdown and rising commodity prices weighed. read more

Government bond yields across the euro area nudged up too, and European stocks also make gains, while Brent crude bounced almost 3% after slumping on Tuesday 9.5% to its lowest in 2-1/2 months. read more

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The broad Euro STOXX 600 (.STOXX) rose 1.9%, with indexes in Frankfurt (.GDAXI) and Paris (.FCHI) up 1.7% and 1.9%, respectively. Retail (.SXRP) and travel and leisure stocks (.SXTP) led the gains.

Investigating, fears over growth that have stalked markets in recent were lingering, investors said.

“The market moves over the past couple of days have been a classic recessionary pricing,” said Hugh Gimber, global market strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management. “Investors are really becoming more cognisant of the risks.”

The dollar index was just off its overnight 20-year peak at 106.57, with safe havens in demand including the Japanese yen in demand.

The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 50 countries, was up 0.1%. S&P 500 futures pointed to gains of about 0.3% on Wall Street.

Earlier, MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 1%, led by a 2% drop for Taiwan’s benchmark index (.TWII).

Britain’s pound traded near a two-year dollar against the dollar as Prime Minister Boris Johnson clung to power, wounded by the growing resignation of ministers and with a number of lawmakers calling for him to go. read more

Sterling was down 0.1% against the dollar at $1.1912, just off the $1.1899 touched a day earlier, its lowest since March 2020. read more


Brent crude futures rose almost 3% to $105.85 a barrel, with supply concerns returning to the fore even as worries about a global recession linger. read more

Uncertainty over Europe’s gas supply has led the latest round of growth worries, sending prices rocketing. Benchmark Dutch gas prices have doubled since the middle of June.

Yet the Norwegian government on Tuesday intervened to end a strike in the petroleum sector that had cut oil and gas output, ending a stalemate that could have increaseded Europe’s energy supply crunch. read more

Some investors worry that flow along the Nord Stream pipeline, which brings gas from Russia to Germany, might not resume after a ten-day maintenance shutdown from July 11 and that winter supply shortages will then prompt rationing and a sharp drop in economic activity.

The backdrop is rising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve publishes minutes later on Wednesday from the June meeting, where it announced the sharpest hike in the US benchmark interest rate in nearly 30 years. It is likely to foreshadow more hikes as Fed officials have said their top priority is fighting inflation, even at the cost of growth.

“The probability of a soft landing had massively declined,” August Hatecke, the co-head of UBS Wealth Management Asia Pacific told investors at a conference in Singapore.

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Reporting by Tom Wilson in London, Sam Byford in Tokyo and Tom Westbrook in Singapore; Editing by Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill and Angus MacSwan For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock markets, please click on:

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.


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