CEE MARKETS-Forint bears the brunt as FX fall under pressure


PRAGUE, June 23 (Reuters) – Hungary’s forint lost 0.7% on Thursday as central Europe’s currencies fell under more pressure and shares in the region sagged as investor sentiment soured, amid global recession worries and aggressive US rate hikes. The forint was the main mover, coming after Hungary’s central bank kept its one-week deposit rate unchanged at a weekly tender on Thursday. Last week, the bank had unexpectedly raised the rate by 50 basis points amid a tightening drive. Central European rate setters have maintained sharp policy tightening since last year to tackle surging inflation, but with major global central banks now becoming more hawkish, currencies in the region are under pressure. The Czech central bank delivered one of its biggest hikes – by 125 basis points – of a year-long tightening campaign on Wednesday, although many see the likelihood it could be the last as the board is revamped from July under a new governor who has opposed more rate hikes. The crown, though, was steady on Thursday around 24.74 to the euro. On Wednesday, outgoing central bank Governor Jiri Rusnok said the bank’s mandate for currency interventions remained in place to prevent undesired weakening, which would raise inflation pressures. “While the near-term policy prospects are overshadowed by changes to the board, we think that underlying inflation dynamics and the broader macroeconomic backdrop will continue exerting pressures for further policy tightening this year,” Goldman Sachs analysts said. The forint fell to 398.9 to the euro in morning trading, creeping back toward a record low of 403 hit this month. It has lost the most in the region this year, worse off as the country faces a high budget deficit, a row with the EU over recovery funds, the introduction of windfall taxes on banks and certain companies, and a negative real interest rate. The Polish zloty slipped 0.2% to a one-week low. On stock markets, Warsaw led losses, falling 1.1%. Czech utility CEZ shares fell 0.4% with the wider market, despite Prime Minister Petr Fiala saying in a televised address to the nation on Wednesday evening the state wanted to have the country’s network of key domestic power plants under control. The state already holds 70% of CEZ and has signaled talks on a future restructuring of the utility were underway. “A possible buyout would probably be based on an independent valuation of individual parts of the company, which would reflect the current high electricity prices,” J&T Banka said. “In our opinion, the current share price still does not fully reflect the impact of electricity prices on the company’s performance and we assume that the mentioned valuation would be higher than the current share price on the market.” CEE SNAPSHO AT MARKETS T 0957 CET CURRENC IES Latest Previou Daily Change s bid close change in 2022 EURCZK Czech EURHUF Hungary 0 0 EURPLN Polish EURRON Romanian EURHRK Croatian EURRSD Serbian 0 0 Note: calcula 1800 daily ted CET change from Latest Previou Daily Change s close change in 2022 .PX Prague 1301.64 1307.59 -0.46% #VALUE! 00 BUX Budapest 39698.7 40035.7 -0.84% ​​-21.73% 5 2 WIG20 Warsaw <.WIG20 1661.53 1680.61 -1.14% -26.71% BETI Buchares 12320.8 12300.7 <0.16% -5.67% t 0 2 SBITO Ljubljan <.SBITO 1135.35 1130.33 +0.44% -9.57% P a P> .CRBEX Zagreb <.CRBEX 1996.38 2006.36 -0.50% -3.99% .BELEX Belgrade <.BELEX 830.21 831.67 -0.18% +1.15% 15> SOFIX Sofia <.SOFIX 606.78 611.79 -0.82% -4.55% Yield Yield Spread Daily (bid) change vs Bund change in Czech spread Republic CZ2YT= 2-year s CZ5YT= 5-year s CZ10YT s Poland PL2YT= 2-year s PL5YT= 5-year s PL10YT s FORWARD 3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interba nk Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for FRA ask quotes prices ****************************** ***** ************************* (Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague and Anita Komuves in Budapest; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)

Leave a Comment